**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops. Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
15°C or higher 50%
5°C or below 47%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
47%
6°C
9%
7°C
14%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
13%
12°C
8%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
50%
15°C or higher 50%
5°C or below 47%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
$83 Wol.
47%
6°C
$23 Wol.
9%
7°C
$0 Wol.
14%
8°C
$0 Wol.
25%
9°C
$0 Wol.
29%
10°C
$0 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
13%
12°C
$571 Wol.
8%
13°C
$0 Wol.
15%
14°C
$0 Wol.
15%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops.
Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$677Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops.
Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$677Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops. Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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