Warm, humid September conditions with persistent southerly flow and scattered overnight thunderstorms kept Houston's minimum temperature elevated on September 9, 2026. Official observations recorded a low of 77°F at Intercontinental Airport and 79°F at Hobby, both several degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 72–74°F, as cloud cover and moisture suppressed radiational cooling. These readings align closely with the market's dominant 78–79°F bucket at 67% implied probability, while cooler outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer skies. NOAA data and local model consensus confirm the pattern of above-average lows amid an active but typical late-summer convective regime, with traders weighting recent station reports heavily near resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on September 9?
71°F or below 9%
74-75°F 8%
72-73°F 2%
80-81°F <1%
$1,590 Wol.
$1,590 Wol.
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
67%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 9%
74-75°F 8%
72-73°F 2%
80-81°F <1%
$1,590 Wol.
$1,590 Wol.
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
67%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Warm, humid September conditions with persistent southerly flow and scattered overnight thunderstorms kept Houston's minimum temperature elevated on September 9, 2026. Official observations recorded a low of 77°F at Intercontinental Airport and 79°F at Hobby, both several degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 72–74°F, as cloud cover and moisture suppressed radiational cooling. These readings align closely with the market's dominant 78–79°F bucket at 67% implied probability, while cooler outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer skies. NOAA data and local model consensus confirm the pattern of above-average lows amid an active but typical late-summer convective regime, with traders weighting recent station reports heavily near resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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