Northeast monsoon flow over southern China has moderated overnight temperatures in Hong Kong, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting a minimum of 26–27 °C on September 10 amid partly sunny skies and isolated showers. Model consensus and recent surface observations align with this range, as dew points near 23 °C and light northeasterly winds limit further cooling below historical September baselines of roughly 25 °C. Trader positioning at 90 % implied probability for 27 °C reflects this tight forecast envelope, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected surge in monsoon strength or clear-sky radiational cooling before dawn. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
27°C 89%
26°C 8%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
$20,354 Wol.
$20,354 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
89%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 89%
26°C 8%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
$20,354 Wol.
$20,354 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
89%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China has moderated overnight temperatures in Hong Kong, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting a minimum of 26–27 °C on September 10 amid partly sunny skies and isolated showers. Model consensus and recent surface observations align with this range, as dew points near 23 °C and light northeasterly winds limit further cooling below historical September baselines of roughly 25 °C. Trader positioning at 90 % implied probability for 27 °C reflects this tight forecast envelope, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected surge in monsoon strength or clear-sky radiational cooling before dawn. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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