Recent model consensus from GFS and European ensembles, updated within the past 24 hours, points to a maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22 under persistent northwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, keep temperatures near or slightly below late-September climatological averages for the region. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 45.5% implied probability for 16°C and 41% for 17°C captures residual uncertainty across ensemble members and minor timing differences in clearing, while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C align with the narrower spread of verified guidance. Final high-resolution runs and morning observations will provide the decisive data before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
16°C 44%
17°C 42%
15°C 12%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
44%
17°C
42%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
17°C 42%
15°C 12%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$146 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$272 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$85 Wol.
2%
14°C
$279 Wol.
2%
15°C
$1,863 Wol.
12%
16°C
$976 Wol.
44%
17°C
$3,135 Wol.
42%
18°C
$620 Wol.
6%
19°C
$403 Wol.
1%
20°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$151 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European ensembles, updated within the past 24 hours, points to a maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22 under persistent northwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, keep temperatures near or slightly below late-September climatological averages for the region. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 45.5% implied probability for 16°C and 41% for 17°C captures residual uncertainty across ensemble members and minor timing differences in clearing, while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C align with the narrower spread of verified guidance. Final high-resolution runs and morning observations will provide the decisive data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,041Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European ensembles, updated within the past 24 hours, points to a maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22 under persistent northwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, keep temperatures near or slightly below late-September climatological averages for the region. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 45.5% implied probability for 16°C and 41% for 17°C captures residual uncertainty across ensemble members and minor timing differences in clearing, while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C align with the narrower spread of verified guidance. Final high-resolution runs and morning observations will provide the decisive data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,041Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and European ensembles, updated within the past 24 hours, points to a maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22 under persistent northwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, keep temperatures near or slightly below late-September climatological averages for the region. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 45.5% implied probability for 16°C and 41% for 17°C captures residual uncertainty across ensemble members and minor timing differences in clearing, while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C align with the narrower spread of verified guidance. Final high-resolution runs and morning observations will provide the decisive data before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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