**Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C as Tokyo’s daily maximum on September 13, 2026.** Real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency data show afternoon temperatures peaking near 25°C (77°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and scattered showers, limiting further warming. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover typically cap highs in this range. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance supports this outcome, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. Only a significant, unforecasted clearing or stronger subsidence could push readings to 26°C or higher before midnight local time; conversely, heavier rain or a sharper wind shift would keep the high at or below the observed peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,105 Wol.
$95,105 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,105 Wol.
$95,105 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$1,377 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,142 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$13,391 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$29,570 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$12,218 Wol.
100%
26°C
$13,087 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$9,295 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$7,354 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,894 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,295 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,483 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C as Tokyo’s daily maximum on September 13, 2026.** Real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency data show afternoon temperatures peaking near 25°C (77°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and scattered showers, limiting further warming. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover typically cap highs in this range. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance supports this outcome, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. Only a significant, unforecasted clearing or stronger subsidence could push readings to 26°C or higher before midnight local time; conversely, heavier rain or a sharper wind shift would keep the high at or below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$95,105Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C as Tokyo’s daily maximum on September 13, 2026.** Real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency data show afternoon temperatures peaking near 25°C (77°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and scattered showers, limiting further warming. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover typically cap highs in this range. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance supports this outcome, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. Only a significant, unforecasted clearing or stronger subsidence could push readings to 26°C or higher before midnight local time; conversely, heavier rain or a sharper wind shift would keep the high at or below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$95,105Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C as Tokyo’s daily maximum on September 13, 2026.** Real-time observations and Japan Meteorological Agency data show afternoon temperatures peaking near 25°C (77°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and scattered showers, limiting further warming. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where sea-breeze effects and cloud cover typically cap highs in this range. Model consensus from GFS and regional guidance supports this outcome, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. Only a significant, unforecasted clearing or stronger subsidence could push readings to 26°C or higher before midnight local time; conversely, heavier rain or a sharper wind shift would keep the high at or below the observed peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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