Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs, GFS model runs, and Met Office guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds under high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22. This aligns with the market's strong preference for those two outcomes at a combined 96% implied probability. The projection sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C but remains well below historical extremes near 28°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the 48-hour window, though minor forecast adjustments from the final overnight model cycle could still influence the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 22?
24°C 64%
25°C 32%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
NOWE
$10,840 Wol.
NOWE
$10,840 Wol.
Sep 22, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
64%
25°C
32%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 64%
25°C 32%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
NOWE
$10,840 Wol.
NOWE
$10,840 Wol.
Sep 22, 2026
19°C or below
$1,338 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$823 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$133 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$865 Wol.
3%
24°C
$3,426 Wol.
64%
25°C
$1,812 Wol.
32%
26°C
$1,135 Wol.
4%
27°C
$465 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$345 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs, GFS model runs, and Met Office guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds under high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22. This aligns with the market's strong preference for those two outcomes at a combined 96% implied probability. The projection sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C but remains well below historical extremes near 28°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the 48-hour window, though minor forecast adjustments from the final overnight model cycle could still influence the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,840Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs, GFS model runs, and Met Office guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds under high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22. This aligns with the market's strong preference for those two outcomes at a combined 96% implied probability. The projection sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C but remains well below historical extremes near 28°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the 48-hour window, though minor forecast adjustments from the final overnight model cycle could still influence the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,840Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France analogs, GFS model runs, and Met Office guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds under high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22. This aligns with the market's strong preference for those two outcomes at a combined 96% implied probability. The projection sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C but remains well below historical extremes near 28°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns through the 48-hour window, though minor forecast adjustments from the final overnight model cycle could still influence the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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