**Trader consensus in this market centers on 33–34°C as the most likely maximum temperature for Lucknow on September 22, reflecting a blend of official forecasts and recent observational trends.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a 36°C high under mainly clear skies with low humidity around 40–72%, consistent with the past several days when maxima reached 35–36°C. However, other models and international guidance indicate values closer to 34°C amid light winds and limited moisture, creating genuine uncertainty in the precise peak. September climatology typically features highs near 33°C, and the market-implied probabilities capture this range while acknowledging potential for slight deviations based on afternoon heating or localized cloud cover. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading, with new forecast updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
34°C 51%
33°C 36%
35°C 10%
36°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
36%
34°C
51%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
33°C 36%
35°C 10%
36°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
36%
34°C
51%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this market centers on 33–34°C as the most likely maximum temperature for Lucknow on September 22, reflecting a blend of official forecasts and recent observational trends.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a 36°C high under mainly clear skies with low humidity around 40–72%, consistent with the past several days when maxima reached 35–36°C. However, other models and international guidance indicate values closer to 34°C amid light winds and limited moisture, creating genuine uncertainty in the precise peak. September climatology typically features highs near 33°C, and the market-implied probabilities capture this range while acknowledging potential for slight deviations based on afternoon heating or localized cloud cover. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading, with new forecast updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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