**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating in Chongqing today, keeping maximum temperatures at or below 22°C according to multiple official forecasts.** Heavy precipitation, high humidity near 90%, and light northwest winds limit solar insolation and prevent typical September warming, well below the month’s historical average high of 28–29°C. Current observations and model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration align with this cooler regime, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for the 22°C-or-below outcome. A late-day clearing of clouds or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering flow could allow brief warming toward 23–24°C, though forecaster agreement on continued rain makes such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,625 Wol.
$34,625 Wol.
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,625 Wol.
$34,625 Wol.
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating in Chongqing today, keeping maximum temperatures at or below 22°C according to multiple official forecasts.** Heavy precipitation, high humidity near 90%, and light northwest winds limit solar insolation and prevent typical September warming, well below the month’s historical average high of 28–29°C. Current observations and model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration align with this cooler regime, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for the 22°C-or-below outcome. A late-day clearing of clouds or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering flow could allow brief warming toward 23–24°C, though forecaster agreement on continued rain makes such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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