**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph. September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
78-79°F 63%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 4%
NOWE
$11,482 Wol.
NOWE
$11,482 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
63%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 63%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 4%
NOWE
$11,482 Wol.
NOWE
$11,482 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
69°F or below
$88 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$356 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$532 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$802 Wol.
4%
76-77°F
$2,683 Wol.
26%
78-79°F
$4,234 Wol.
63%
80-81°F
$1,283 Wol.
6%
82-83°F
$518 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$402 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$417 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$169 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph.
September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,482Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph.
September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,482Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph. September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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