The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 and effective for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, remains in place with no repeal enacted as of September 2026. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, backed by lawmakers from Nevada and others, have repeatedly failed to advance past the House Rules Committee or through committee consideration despite multiple amendment attempts on appropriations measures. Industry advocates, including the American Gaming Association and figures like UFC’s Dana White, have pressed for reversal citing impacts on legal betting markets and phantom income for itemizing taxpayers, yet these efforts have not produced floor votes or offsets in ongoing fiscal packages. With limited legislative calendar time remaining before the 2027 resolution deadline and no scheduled reconciliation vehicle guaranteeing inclusion, traders assign low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano20% szansa
$71,489 Wol.
$71,489 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
20% szansa
$71,489 Wol.
$71,489 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 and effective for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, remains in place with no repeal enacted as of September 2026. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, backed by lawmakers from Nevada and others, have repeatedly failed to advance past the House Rules Committee or through committee consideration despite multiple amendment attempts on appropriations measures. Industry advocates, including the American Gaming Association and figures like UFC’s Dana White, have pressed for reversal citing impacts on legal betting markets and phantom income for itemizing taxpayers, yet these efforts have not produced floor votes or offsets in ongoing fiscal packages. With limited legislative calendar time remaining before the 2027 resolution deadline and no scheduled reconciliation vehicle guaranteeing inclusion, traders assign low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$71,489Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 and effective for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, remains in place with no repeal enacted as of September 2026. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, backed by lawmakers from Nevada and others, have repeatedly failed to advance past the House Rules Committee or through committee consideration despite multiple amendment attempts on appropriations measures. Industry advocates, including the American Gaming Association and figures like UFC’s Dana White, have pressed for reversal citing impacts on legal betting markets and phantom income for itemizing taxpayers, yet these efforts have not produced floor votes or offsets in ongoing fiscal packages. With limited legislative calendar time remaining before the 2027 resolution deadline and no scheduled reconciliation vehicle guaranteeing inclusion, traders assign low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$71,489Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 and effective for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, remains in place with no repeal enacted as of September 2026. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, backed by lawmakers from Nevada and others, have repeatedly failed to advance past the House Rules Committee or through committee consideration despite multiple amendment attempts on appropriations measures. Industry advocates, including the American Gaming Association and figures like UFC’s Dana White, have pressed for reversal citing impacts on legal betting markets and phantom income for itemizing taxpayers, yet these efforts have not produced floor votes or offsets in ongoing fiscal packages. With limited legislative calendar time remaining before the 2027 resolution deadline and no scheduled reconciliation vehicle guaranteeing inclusion, traders assign low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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