Becerra maintains a substantial lead over Hilton in California’s heavily Democratic electorate, with the most recent PPIC poll showing a 60-38 percent margin among likely voters. This positioning stems from strong partisan loyalty—93 percent of Democrats back Becerra while independents favor him by 19 points—and the state’s structural tilt that has kept Republicans out of the governorship for two decades. Hilton’s campaign has highlighted affordability and tax relief to narrow gaps in certain regions like the Central Valley, yet recent surveys indicate limited movement in overall support. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects polling variability and the remaining six weeks until November 3, during which further shifts in turnout or issue emphasis on housing and costs could adjust the final spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
Becerra 20-25% 21%
Becerra 15-20% 19%
Becerra 25-30% 17.0%
Becerra 40%+ 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Becerra 40%+
13%
Becerra 35-40%
5%
Becerra 30-35%
9%
Becerra 25-30%
17%
Becerra 20-25%
21%
Becerra 15-20%
19%
Becerra 10-15%
12%
Becerra 0-10%
2%
Hilton Wins
<1%
Becerra 20-25% 21%
Becerra 15-20% 19%
Becerra 25-30% 17.0%
Becerra 40%+ 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Becerra 40%+
$715 Wol.
13%
Becerra 35-40%
$303 Wol.
5%
Becerra 30-35%
$195 Wol.
9%
Becerra 25-30%
$509 Wol.
17%
Becerra 20-25%
$829 Wol.
21%
Becerra 15-20%
$856 Wol.
19%
Becerra 10-15%
$270 Wol.
12%
Becerra 0-10%
$171 Wol.
2%
Hilton Wins
$193 Wol.
<1%
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Becerra maintains a substantial lead over Hilton in California’s heavily Democratic electorate, with the most recent PPIC poll showing a 60-38 percent margin among likely voters. This positioning stems from strong partisan loyalty—93 percent of Democrats back Becerra while independents favor him by 19 points—and the state’s structural tilt that has kept Republicans out of the governorship for two decades. Hilton’s campaign has highlighted affordability and tax relief to narrow gaps in certain regions like the Central Valley, yet recent surveys indicate limited movement in overall support. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects polling variability and the remaining six weeks until November 3, during which further shifts in turnout or issue emphasis on housing and costs could adjust the final spread.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,041Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Becerra maintains a substantial lead over Hilton in California’s heavily Democratic electorate, with the most recent PPIC poll showing a 60-38 percent margin among likely voters. This positioning stems from strong partisan loyalty—93 percent of Democrats back Becerra while independents favor him by 19 points—and the state’s structural tilt that has kept Republicans out of the governorship for two decades. Hilton’s campaign has highlighted affordability and tax relief to narrow gaps in certain regions like the Central Valley, yet recent surveys indicate limited movement in overall support. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects polling variability and the remaining six weeks until November 3, during which further shifts in turnout or issue emphasis on housing and costs could adjust the final spread.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$4,041Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Becerra maintains a substantial lead over Hilton in California’s heavily Democratic electorate, with the most recent PPIC poll showing a 60-38 percent margin among likely voters. This positioning stems from strong partisan loyalty—93 percent of Democrats back Becerra while independents favor him by 19 points—and the state’s structural tilt that has kept Republicans out of the governorship for two decades. Hilton’s campaign has highlighted affordability and tax relief to narrow gaps in certain regions like the Central Valley, yet recent surveys indicate limited movement in overall support. Trader pricing across margin buckets reflects polling variability and the remaining six weeks until November 3, during which further shifts in turnout or issue emphasis on housing and costs could adjust the final spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania