Kurt Alme maintains a commanding position in the Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests and his swift consolidation of the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary. Polling aggregates through early September show Alme ahead by double digits, typically in the low 40s against independent Seth Bodnar in the mid-to-high 20s and Democrat Alani Bankhead in the high teens, reflecting limited crossover support and vote fragmentation on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late surge in Bodnar's independent appeal among moderates, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Independent 7.6%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$118,349 Wol.
$118,349 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
91%
Independent
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
1%
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Independent 7.6%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$118,349 Wol.
$118,349 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
$59,671 Wol.
91%
Independent
$18,015 Wol.
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
$40,664 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kurt Alme maintains a commanding position in the Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests and his swift consolidation of the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary. Polling aggregates through early September show Alme ahead by double digits, typically in the low 40s against independent Seth Bodnar in the mid-to-high 20s and Democrat Alani Bankhead in the high teens, reflecting limited crossover support and vote fragmentation on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late surge in Bodnar's independent appeal among moderates, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$118,349Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kurt Alme maintains a commanding position in the Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests and his swift consolidation of the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary. Polling aggregates through early September show Alme ahead by double digits, typically in the low 40s against independent Seth Bodnar in the mid-to-high 20s and Democrat Alani Bankhead in the high teens, reflecting limited crossover support and vote fragmentation on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late surge in Bodnar's independent appeal among moderates, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$118,349Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Kurt Alme maintains a commanding position in the Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests and his swift consolidation of the GOP nomination after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him ahead of the June primary. Polling aggregates through early September show Alme ahead by double digits, typically in the low 40s against independent Seth Bodnar in the mid-to-high 20s and Democrat Alani Bankhead in the high teens, reflecting limited crossover support and vote fragmentation on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late surge in Bodnar's independent appeal among moderates, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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