**Die Linke is projected at 24.8–26% in initial exit polls and Hochrechnungen from the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, placing the party well above the 23% threshold.** This commanding position stems from consistent pre-election gains tracked by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, where the party rose from 12.2% in the 2023 repeat election to the low-to-mid 20s amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and voter focus on housing and social policy. Elif Eralp’s candidacy and the party’s platform on rent controls and public housing contributed to the surge. While final certified results could see minor adjustments, the cross-institute projections and high turnout (around 72–75%) make a sub-23% outcome highly unlikely; only a major late swing in remaining counts would alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano23%+ 93%
17-20% 3.4%
20-23% 1.9%
<17% <1%
$91,001 Wol.
$91,001 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<17%
<1%
17-20%
3%
20-23%
2%
23%+
93%
23%+ 93%
17-20% 3.4%
20-23% 1.9%
<17% <1%
$91,001 Wol.
$91,001 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<17%
$15,842 Wol.
<1%
17-20%
$22,331 Wol.
3%
20-23%
$20,946 Wol.
2%
23%+
$31,881 Wol.
93%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Die Linke is projected at 24.8–26% in initial exit polls and Hochrechnungen from the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, placing the party well above the 23% threshold.** This commanding position stems from consistent pre-election gains tracked by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, where the party rose from 12.2% in the 2023 repeat election to the low-to-mid 20s amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and voter focus on housing and social policy. Elif Eralp’s candidacy and the party’s platform on rent controls and public housing contributed to the surge. While final certified results could see minor adjustments, the cross-institute projections and high turnout (around 72–75%) make a sub-23% outcome highly unlikely; only a major late swing in remaining counts would alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$91,001Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Die Linke is projected at 24.8–26% in initial exit polls and Hochrechnungen from the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, placing the party well above the 23% threshold.** This commanding position stems from consistent pre-election gains tracked by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, where the party rose from 12.2% in the 2023 repeat election to the low-to-mid 20s amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and voter focus on housing and social policy. Elif Eralp’s candidacy and the party’s platform on rent controls and public housing contributed to the surge. While final certified results could see minor adjustments, the cross-institute projections and high turnout (around 72–75%) make a sub-23% outcome highly unlikely; only a major late swing in remaining counts would alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$91,001Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Die Linke is projected at 24.8–26% in initial exit polls and Hochrechnungen from the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, placing the party well above the 23% threshold.** This commanding position stems from consistent pre-election gains tracked by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, where the party rose from 12.2% in the 2023 repeat election to the low-to-mid 20s amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition and voter focus on housing and social policy. Elif Eralp’s candidacy and the party’s platform on rent controls and public housing contributed to the surge. While final certified results could see minor adjustments, the cross-institute projections and high turnout (around 72–75%) make a sub-23% outcome highly unlikely; only a major late swing in remaining counts would alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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