No EU member state has advanced serious withdrawal proposals or scheduled referendums in the short window remaining before 2027. Brexit's protracted negotiations and economic costs have deterred similar initiatives, with public support for exits remaining low across the bloc and euroskeptic parties focusing on internal reforms rather than departure. Recent political shifts, including the defeat of Hungary's long-serving euroskeptic leadership, have further reduced momentum for any exit process. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no withdrawal reflects this absence of credible near-term catalysts. Late developments such as an unforeseen national crisis, rapid government change, or successful petition drive could theoretically accelerate timelines, though procedural requirements for treaties, parliaments, and negotiations make completion before 2027 improbable even under accelerated conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
2% szansa
$166,286 Wol.
$166,286 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
2% szansa
$166,286 Wol.
$166,286 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has advanced serious withdrawal proposals or scheduled referendums in the short window remaining before 2027. Brexit's protracted negotiations and economic costs have deterred similar initiatives, with public support for exits remaining low across the bloc and euroskeptic parties focusing on internal reforms rather than departure. Recent political shifts, including the defeat of Hungary's long-serving euroskeptic leadership, have further reduced momentum for any exit process. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no withdrawal reflects this absence of credible near-term catalysts. Late developments such as an unforeseen national crisis, rapid government change, or successful petition drive could theoretically accelerate timelines, though procedural requirements for treaties, parliaments, and negotiations make completion before 2027 improbable even under accelerated conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$166,286Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has advanced serious withdrawal proposals or scheduled referendums in the short window remaining before 2027. Brexit's protracted negotiations and economic costs have deterred similar initiatives, with public support for exits remaining low across the bloc and euroskeptic parties focusing on internal reforms rather than departure. Recent political shifts, including the defeat of Hungary's long-serving euroskeptic leadership, have further reduced momentum for any exit process. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no withdrawal reflects this absence of credible near-term catalysts. Late developments such as an unforeseen national crisis, rapid government change, or successful petition drive could theoretically accelerate timelines, though procedural requirements for treaties, parliaments, and negotiations make completion before 2027 improbable even under accelerated conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$166,286Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...No EU member state has advanced serious withdrawal proposals or scheduled referendums in the short window remaining before 2027. Brexit's protracted negotiations and economic costs have deterred similar initiatives, with public support for exits remaining low across the bloc and euroskeptic parties focusing on internal reforms rather than departure. Recent political shifts, including the defeat of Hungary's long-serving euroskeptic leadership, have further reduced momentum for any exit process. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no withdrawal reflects this absence of credible near-term catalysts. Late developments such as an unforeseen national crisis, rapid government change, or successful petition drive could theoretically accelerate timelines, though procedural requirements for treaties, parliaments, and negotiations make completion before 2027 improbable even under accelerated conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania