OPEC continues to operate with 11 member states and active coordination among core producers as of September 2026, following the UAE’s May exit over production quotas and capacity expansion goals amid the Iran conflict. Saudi Arabia and remaining participants have reaffirmed commitments through regular OPEC+ meetings and output decisions, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and influence. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the organization’s history of adapting to prior exits, such as those by Angola and Qatar, without formal disbandment. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include additional high-profile withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete collapse in quota compliance triggered by prolonged supply disruptions, though these would require coordinated member action unlikely before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
3% szansa
$35,205 Wol.
$35,205 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% szansa
$35,205 Wol.
$35,205 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to operate with 11 member states and active coordination among core producers as of September 2026, following the UAE’s May exit over production quotas and capacity expansion goals amid the Iran conflict. Saudi Arabia and remaining participants have reaffirmed commitments through regular OPEC+ meetings and output decisions, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and influence. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the organization’s history of adapting to prior exits, such as those by Angola and Qatar, without formal disbandment. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include additional high-profile withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete collapse in quota compliance triggered by prolonged supply disruptions, though these would require coordinated member action unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$35,205Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to operate with 11 member states and active coordination among core producers as of September 2026, following the UAE’s May exit over production quotas and capacity expansion goals amid the Iran conflict. Saudi Arabia and remaining participants have reaffirmed commitments through regular OPEC+ meetings and output decisions, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and influence. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the organization’s history of adapting to prior exits, such as those by Angola and Qatar, without formal disbandment. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include additional high-profile withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete collapse in quota compliance triggered by prolonged supply disruptions, though these would require coordinated member action unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$35,205Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to operate with 11 member states and active coordination among core producers as of September 2026, following the UAE’s May exit over production quotas and capacity expansion goals amid the Iran conflict. Saudi Arabia and remaining participants have reaffirmed commitments through regular OPEC+ meetings and output decisions, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and influence. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the organization’s history of adapting to prior exits, such as those by Angola and Qatar, without formal disbandment. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include additional high-profile withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete collapse in quota compliance triggered by prolonged supply disruptions, though these would require coordinated member action unlikely before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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