Chang Chia-chun holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Yunlin County magistrate race due to the Kuomintang's established local organizational strength and the Chang family's multi-term control of the office, including continuity with incumbent Chang Li-shan’s policies. The KMT nominated her early in 2026 as legislator, positioning her to extend that network ahead of the November 28 vote. Recent DPP efforts, including President Lai Ching-te heading Liu Chien-kuo’s campaign headquarters and a large September rally framing the contest around ending family influence, have mobilized opposition resources but have not shifted the implied probability. Key factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected turnout shifts among rural voters, late campaign developments, or coalition dynamics with other candidates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/06/30
張家駿
93%
劉建国
6%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
張家駿
$2,140 Vol.
93%
劉建国
$418 Vol.
6%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang Chia-chun holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Yunlin County magistrate race due to the Kuomintang's established local organizational strength and the Chang family's multi-term control of the office, including continuity with incumbent Chang Li-shan’s policies. The KMT nominated her early in 2026 as legislator, positioning her to extend that network ahead of the November 28 vote. Recent DPP efforts, including President Lai Ching-te heading Liu Chien-kuo’s campaign headquarters and a large September rally framing the contest around ending family influence, have mobilized opposition resources but have not shifted the implied probability. Key factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected turnout shifts among rural voters, late campaign developments, or coalition dynamics with other candidates.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
音量
$2,558終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang Chia-chun holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Yunlin County magistrate race due to the Kuomintang's established local organizational strength and the Chang family's multi-term control of the office, including continuity with incumbent Chang Li-shan’s policies. The KMT nominated her early in 2026 as legislator, positioning her to extend that network ahead of the November 28 vote. Recent DPP efforts, including President Lai Ching-te heading Liu Chien-kuo’s campaign headquarters and a large September rally framing the contest around ending family influence, have mobilized opposition resources but have not shifted the implied probability. Key factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected turnout shifts among rural voters, late campaign developments, or coalition dynamics with other candidates.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$2,558終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Chang Chia-chun holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Yunlin County magistrate race due to the Kuomintang's established local organizational strength and the Chang family's multi-term control of the office, including continuity with incumbent Chang Li-shan’s policies. The KMT nominated her early in 2026 as legislator, positioning her to extend that network ahead of the November 28 vote. Recent DPP efforts, including President Lai Ching-te heading Liu Chien-kuo’s campaign headquarters and a large September rally framing the contest around ending family influence, have mobilized opposition resources but have not shifted the implied probability. Key factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected turnout shifts among rural voters, late campaign developments, or coalition dynamics with other candidates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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