Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
68% 確率
$102,057 Vol.
$102,057 Vol.
2029/01/19
3.25%を獲得
はい
68% 確率
$102,057 Vol.
$102,057 Vol.
2029/01/19
3.25%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$102,057終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$102,057終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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