Israeli government actions in 2026 have centered on accelerated settlement approvals, E-1 tenders for over 3,400 units, land registration reforms, and outpost legalization in the West Bank, advancing de facto control without formal sovereignty legislation. These steps, including recent September tenders timed near the October 27 elections, create facts on the ground but stop short of Knesset votes or cabinet declarations applying Israeli law to territory. US statements opposing annexation, domestic court freezes on related tenders, and coalition priorities ahead of elections further reduce prospects for de jure measures by year-end. The 94.5% trader consensus on “No” reflects this pattern of incremental expansion over formal annexation in the narrow remaining window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$90,952 Vol.
$90,952 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$90,952 Vol.
$90,952 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government actions in 2026 have centered on accelerated settlement approvals, E-1 tenders for over 3,400 units, land registration reforms, and outpost legalization in the West Bank, advancing de facto control without formal sovereignty legislation. These steps, including recent September tenders timed near the October 27 elections, create facts on the ground but stop short of Knesset votes or cabinet declarations applying Israeli law to territory. US statements opposing annexation, domestic court freezes on related tenders, and coalition priorities ahead of elections further reduce prospects for de jure measures by year-end. The 94.5% trader consensus on “No” reflects this pattern of incremental expansion over formal annexation in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$90,952終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government actions in 2026 have centered on accelerated settlement approvals, E-1 tenders for over 3,400 units, land registration reforms, and outpost legalization in the West Bank, advancing de facto control without formal sovereignty legislation. These steps, including recent September tenders timed near the October 27 elections, create facts on the ground but stop short of Knesset votes or cabinet declarations applying Israeli law to territory. US statements opposing annexation, domestic court freezes on related tenders, and coalition priorities ahead of elections further reduce prospects for de jure measures by year-end. The 94.5% trader consensus on “No” reflects this pattern of incremental expansion over formal annexation in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$90,952終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli government actions in 2026 have centered on accelerated settlement approvals, E-1 tenders for over 3,400 units, land registration reforms, and outpost legalization in the West Bank, advancing de facto control without formal sovereignty legislation. These steps, including recent September tenders timed near the October 27 elections, create facts on the ground but stop short of Knesset votes or cabinet declarations applying Israeli law to territory. US statements opposing annexation, domestic court freezes on related tenders, and coalition priorities ahead of elections further reduce prospects for de jure measures by year-end. The 94.5% trader consensus on “No” reflects this pattern of incremental expansion over formal annexation in the narrow remaining window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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