Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

icon for Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?

はい

17% 確率
Polymarket

$11,832 Vol.

はい

17% 確率
Polymarket

$11,832 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ari Weinstein’s recent integration into OpenAI following the October 2025 acquisition of his company Software Applications Incorporated underpins the 70.5% market-implied probability he remains through year-end 2026. As a member of the product staff focused on computer-use capabilities and frontier interfaces, Weinstein continues leading agentic desktop features for ChatGPT on macOS, building directly on Sky’s native integration. Public developer updates and his own commentary through mid-2026 show no exit signals, competing offers, or shifts in role amid OpenAI’s broader leadership turnover in safety and executive positions. Traders view his specialized expertise in large language model interfaces as aligned with ongoing priorities in competitive artificial intelligence development, though rapid product timelines and internal priorities could still introduce volatility before the December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,832
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Oct 27, 2025, 1:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ari Weinstein’s recent integration into OpenAI following the October 2025 acquisition of his company Software Applications Incorporated underpins the 70.5% market-implied probability he remains through year-end 2026. As a member of the product staff focused on computer-use capabilities and frontier interfaces, Weinstein continues leading agentic desktop features for ChatGPT on macOS, building directly on Sky’s native integration. Public developer updates and his own commentary through mid-2026 show no exit signals, competing offers, or shifts in role amid OpenAI’s broader leadership turnover in safety and executive positions. Traders view his specialized expertise in large language model interfaces as aligned with ongoing priorities in competitive artificial intelligence development, though rapid product timelines and internal priorities could still introduce volatility before the December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,832
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Oct 27, 2025, 1:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アリ・ワインスタインは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを去るでしょうか?」で20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、20¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に20%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」は$11.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 27, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「アリ・ワインスタインは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを去るでしょうか?」で20%であり、市場がこの結果に20%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ari Weinsteinは2026年12月31日までにOpenAIを退社しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。