Greg Murphy holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 14-point Trump margin recorded in 2024 under the map enacted in October 2025. As the six-term Republican incumbent, Murphy benefits from an uncontested primary, roughly $2.3 million in campaign funds as of June 2026, and consistent support from party leadership. His Democratic opponent, Raymond Smith Jr., secured the nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow but trails significantly in fundraising with about $223,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no major polling shifts or national developments have altered the structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and incumbency edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,249 Vol.
$19,249 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレッグ・マーフィー（共和党）
86%
レイモンド・スミス・ジュニア（民主党）
13%
$19,249 Vol.
$19,249 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレッグ・マーフィー（共和党）
$14,276 Vol.
86%
レイモンド・スミス・ジュニア（民主党）
$4,972 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Murphy holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 14-point Trump margin recorded in 2024 under the map enacted in October 2025. As the six-term Republican incumbent, Murphy benefits from an uncontested primary, roughly $2.3 million in campaign funds as of June 2026, and consistent support from party leadership. His Democratic opponent, Raymond Smith Jr., secured the nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow but trails significantly in fundraising with about $223,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no major polling shifts or national developments have altered the structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$19,249終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Murphy holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 14-point Trump margin recorded in 2024 under the map enacted in October 2025. As the six-term Republican incumbent, Murphy benefits from an uncontested primary, roughly $2.3 million in campaign funds as of June 2026, and consistent support from party leadership. His Democratic opponent, Raymond Smith Jr., secured the nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow but trails significantly in fundraising with about $223,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no major polling shifts or national developments have altered the structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,249終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Murphy holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district due to its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 14-point Trump margin recorded in 2024 under the map enacted in October 2025. As the six-term Republican incumbent, Murphy benefits from an uncontested primary, roughly $2.3 million in campaign funds as of June 2026, and consistent support from party leadership. His Democratic opponent, Raymond Smith Jr., secured the nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow but trails significantly in fundraising with about $223,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and no major polling shifts or national developments have altered the structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and incumbency edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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