**US policy under the Trump administration emphasizes support for a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) in postwar Gaza rather than direct deployment of American troops into the enclave.** Plans call for the ISF—led by a U.S. general but composed primarily of personnel from countries such as Morocco, Albania, and Kosovo—to handle security, aid coordination, and training of Palestinian police, with the U.S. providing funding, logistical hubs in southern Israel, and a civil-military coordination center staffed by roughly 200 American personnel based in Israel. Official statements have repeatedly clarified that no U.S. forces are slated for ground operations inside Gaza. Deployment of even limited ISF elements has faced repeated delays amid Israeli electoral timelines, Hamas disarmament hurdles, and regional distractions from the Iran conflict, with initial commitments scaled back significantly from earlier targets. These structural preferences and implementation challenges underpin trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before the 2027 threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$186,009 Vol.
$186,009 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$186,009 Vol.
$186,009 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US policy under the Trump administration emphasizes support for a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) in postwar Gaza rather than direct deployment of American troops into the enclave.** Plans call for the ISF—led by a U.S. general but composed primarily of personnel from countries such as Morocco, Albania, and Kosovo—to handle security, aid coordination, and training of Palestinian police, with the U.S. providing funding, logistical hubs in southern Israel, and a civil-military coordination center staffed by roughly 200 American personnel based in Israel. Official statements have repeatedly clarified that no U.S. forces are slated for ground operations inside Gaza. Deployment of even limited ISF elements has faced repeated delays amid Israeli electoral timelines, Hamas disarmament hurdles, and regional distractions from the Iran conflict, with initial commitments scaled back significantly from earlier targets. These structural preferences and implementation challenges underpin trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
音量
$186,009終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US policy under the Trump administration emphasizes support for a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) in postwar Gaza rather than direct deployment of American troops into the enclave.** Plans call for the ISF—led by a U.S. general but composed primarily of personnel from countries such as Morocco, Albania, and Kosovo—to handle security, aid coordination, and training of Palestinian police, with the U.S. providing funding, logistical hubs in southern Israel, and a civil-military coordination center staffed by roughly 200 American personnel based in Israel. Official statements have repeatedly clarified that no U.S. forces are slated for ground operations inside Gaza. Deployment of even limited ISF elements has faced repeated delays amid Israeli electoral timelines, Hamas disarmament hurdles, and regional distractions from the Iran conflict, with initial commitments scaled back significantly from earlier targets. These structural preferences and implementation challenges underpin trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$186,009終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**US policy under the Trump administration emphasizes support for a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) in postwar Gaza rather than direct deployment of American troops into the enclave.** Plans call for the ISF—led by a U.S. general but composed primarily of personnel from countries such as Morocco, Albania, and Kosovo—to handle security, aid coordination, and training of Palestinian police, with the U.S. providing funding, logistical hubs in southern Israel, and a civil-military coordination center staffed by roughly 200 American personnel based in Israel. Official statements have repeatedly clarified that no U.S. forces are slated for ground operations inside Gaza. Deployment of even limited ISF elements has faced repeated delays amid Israeli electoral timelines, Hamas disarmament hurdles, and regional distractions from the Iran conflict, with initial commitments scaled back significantly from earlier targets. These structural preferences and implementation challenges underpin trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before the 2027 threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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