United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 96.0%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
$4,628 Vol.
$4,628 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
96%
LDPR
1%
A Just Russia
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
United Russia 96.0%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
$4,628 Vol.
$4,628 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
$2,118 Vol.
96%
LDPR
$498 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$465 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$319 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$313 Vol.
<1%
New People
$545 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$370 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
音量
$4,628終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$4,628終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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