**The Uprising’s opening weekend box office market heavily favors sub-$4.5 million results at 58% implied probability, driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception that emerged just ahead of its September 10/11 wide release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, has drawn middling reviews on Rotten Tomatoes (around 54%) citing uneven execution and limited blockbuster appeal despite strong production values and timely themes. Blumhouse and Focus Features are handling distribution, but the genre’s niche draw, lack of broad audience awareness, and competition from other September titles have kept pre-release tracking modest. Traders appear to view Garfield’s star power and Greengrass’s pedigree as insufficient to overcome the reception and positioning, with higher brackets (above $5.5 million) trading at single-digit to low-teen probabilities reflecting limited upside scenarios. The three-day frame (September 11–13) will test whether word-of-mouth or any late marketing surge can move the needle before final numbers lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「ザ・アップライジング」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「ザ・アップライジング」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
450万ドル未満 61%
4.5-5.5百万ドル 26%
5.5万～6.5万ドル 13%
6.5-7.5百万ドル 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
450万ドル未満
57%
4.5-5.5百万ドル
26%
5.5万～6.5万ドル
13%
6.5-7.5百万ドル
10%
750万ドル以上
6%
450万ドル未満 61%
4.5-5.5百万ドル 26%
5.5万～6.5万ドル 13%
6.5-7.5百万ドル 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
450万ドル未満
$134 Vol.
57%
4.5-5.5百万ドル
$15 Vol.
26%
5.5万～6.5万ドル
$15 Vol.
13%
6.5-7.5百万ドル
$15 Vol.
10%
750万ドル以上
$15 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Uprising’s opening weekend box office market heavily favors sub-$4.5 million results at 58% implied probability, driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception that emerged just ahead of its September 10/11 wide release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, has drawn middling reviews on Rotten Tomatoes (around 54%) citing uneven execution and limited blockbuster appeal despite strong production values and timely themes. Blumhouse and Focus Features are handling distribution, but the genre’s niche draw, lack of broad audience awareness, and competition from other September titles have kept pre-release tracking modest. Traders appear to view Garfield’s star power and Greengrass’s pedigree as insufficient to overcome the reception and positioning, with higher brackets (above $5.5 million) trading at single-digit to low-teen probabilities reflecting limited upside scenarios. The three-day frame (September 11–13) will test whether word-of-mouth or any late marketing surge can move the needle before final numbers lock.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
音量
$194終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Uprising’s opening weekend box office market heavily favors sub-$4.5 million results at 58% implied probability, driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception that emerged just ahead of its September 10/11 wide release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, has drawn middling reviews on Rotten Tomatoes (around 54%) citing uneven execution and limited blockbuster appeal despite strong production values and timely themes. Blumhouse and Focus Features are handling distribution, but the genre’s niche draw, lack of broad audience awareness, and competition from other September titles have kept pre-release tracking modest. Traders appear to view Garfield’s star power and Greengrass’s pedigree as insufficient to overcome the reception and positioning, with higher brackets (above $5.5 million) trading at single-digit to low-teen probabilities reflecting limited upside scenarios. The three-day frame (September 11–13) will test whether word-of-mouth or any late marketing surge can move the needle before final numbers lock.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$194終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**The Uprising’s opening weekend box office market heavily favors sub-$4.5 million results at 58% implied probability, driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception that emerged just ahead of its September 10/11 wide release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, has drawn middling reviews on Rotten Tomatoes (around 54%) citing uneven execution and limited blockbuster appeal despite strong production values and timely themes. Blumhouse and Focus Features are handling distribution, but the genre’s niche draw, lack of broad audience awareness, and competition from other September titles have kept pre-release tracking modest. Traders appear to view Garfield’s star power and Greengrass’s pedigree as insufficient to overcome the reception and positioning, with higher brackets (above $5.5 million) trading at single-digit to low-teen probabilities reflecting limited upside scenarios. The three-day frame (September 11–13) will test whether word-of-mouth or any late marketing surge can move the needle before final numbers lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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