Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic pre-sales announced in early September, three months before its December 18 release, signaling unprecedented fan demand for the MCU ensemble featuring Doctor Doom, the Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men. This momentum, fueled by the film's record-breaking trailer views and Disney+ viewing surge, positions it to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day's $360 million domestic opening weekend from July. The latter holds 40% odds on the strength of its already-delivered summer blockbuster performance exceeding $2.4 billion globally. November's The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and the shared December date with Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited comparable scale amid holiday competition and franchise positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$154,439 Vol.
$154,439 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$154,439 Vol.
$154,439 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$65,101 Vol.
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$56,403 Vol.
40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic pre-sales announced in early September, three months before its December 18 release, signaling unprecedented fan demand for the MCU ensemble featuring Doctor Doom, the Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men. This momentum, fueled by the film's record-breaking trailer views and Disney+ viewing surge, positions it to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day's $360 million domestic opening weekend from July. The latter holds 40% odds on the strength of its already-delivered summer blockbuster performance exceeding $2.4 billion globally. November's The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and the shared December date with Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited comparable scale amid holiday competition and franchise positioning.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$154,439終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic pre-sales announced in early September, three months before its December 18 release, signaling unprecedented fan demand for the MCU ensemble featuring Doctor Doom, the Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men. This momentum, fueled by the film's record-breaking trailer views and Disney+ viewing surge, positions it to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day's $360 million domestic opening weekend from July. The latter holds 40% odds on the strength of its already-delivered summer blockbuster performance exceeding $2.4 billion globally. November's The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and the shared December date with Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited comparable scale amid holiday competition and franchise positioning.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$154,439終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic pre-sales announced in early September, three months before its December 18 release, signaling unprecedented fan demand for the MCU ensemble featuring Doctor Doom, the Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men. This momentum, fueled by the film's record-breaking trailer views and Disney+ viewing surge, positions it to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day's $360 million domestic opening weekend from July. The latter holds 40% odds on the strength of its already-delivered summer blockbuster performance exceeding $2.4 billion globally. November's The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and the shared December date with Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited comparable scale amid holiday competition and franchise positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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