Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race because the state has favored Republicans in statewide contests by wide margins for years, including Donald Trump’s roughly 30-point victory in 2024. She secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.5 percent of the vote against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, then benefited from unified party support in a solidly Republican electorate. Democratic nominee Jerri Green, a Memphis city council member who won her primary with about 69 percent, trails significantly in available polling that shows Blackburn ahead by 20 points or more. Recent developments, including Blackburn’s refusal to debate Green and policy contrasts on issues such as minimum wage and taxes, have not shifted the implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to late-breaking events like major scandals or sharp national political realignments before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
マーシャ・ブラックバーン（共和党）
96%
ジェリ・グリーン（民主党）
4%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
マーシャ・ブラックバーン（共和党）
$5,719 Vol.
96%
ジェリ・グリーン（民主党）
$3,346 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race because the state has favored Republicans in statewide contests by wide margins for years, including Donald Trump’s roughly 30-point victory in 2024. She secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.5 percent of the vote against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, then benefited from unified party support in a solidly Republican electorate. Democratic nominee Jerri Green, a Memphis city council member who won her primary with about 69 percent, trails significantly in available polling that shows Blackburn ahead by 20 points or more. Recent developments, including Blackburn’s refusal to debate Green and policy contrasts on issues such as minimum wage and taxes, have not shifted the implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to late-breaking events like major scandals or sharp national political realignments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$9,066終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race because the state has favored Republicans in statewide contests by wide margins for years, including Donald Trump’s roughly 30-point victory in 2024. She secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.5 percent of the vote against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, then benefited from unified party support in a solidly Republican electorate. Democratic nominee Jerri Green, a Memphis city council member who won her primary with about 69 percent, trails significantly in available polling that shows Blackburn ahead by 20 points or more. Recent developments, including Blackburn’s refusal to debate Green and policy contrasts on issues such as minimum wage and taxes, have not shifted the implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to late-breaking events like major scandals or sharp national political realignments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$9,066終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race because the state has favored Republicans in statewide contests by wide margins for years, including Donald Trump’s roughly 30-point victory in 2024. She secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with 43.5 percent of the vote against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, then benefited from unified party support in a solidly Republican electorate. Democratic nominee Jerri Green, a Memphis city council member who won her primary with about 69 percent, trails significantly in available polling that shows Blackburn ahead by 20 points or more. Recent developments, including Blackburn’s refusal to debate Green and policy contrasts on issues such as minimum wage and taxes, have not shifted the implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to late-breaking events like major scandals or sharp national political realignments before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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