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icon for 桃園市長選挙優勝者

桃園市長選挙優勝者

icon for 桃園市長選挙優勝者

桃園市長選挙優勝者

張善政 89%

黄士杰 6.8%

彭紹瑾 <1%

Polymarket

$15,069 Vol.

張善政 89%

黄士杰 6.8%

彭紹瑾 <1%

Polymarket

$15,069 Vol.

icon for 張善政

張善政

$11,613 Vol.

89%

icon for 黄士杰

黄士杰

$2,180 Vol.

7%

icon for 彭紹瑾

彭紹瑾

$1,276 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Kuomintang mayor Chang San-cheng registered for re-election in early September 2026 as the sole KMT nominee, facing Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh in a two-candidate race confirmed after registration closed. Chang maintains approval ratings near 62 percent amid a stable local record, while Huang's nomination in April drew on his prior legislative and justice ministry experience in Taoyuan. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows Chang as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 28 vote, consistent with historical advantages for popular special-municipality incumbents absent major national shifts. No significant late developments have altered this positioning.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$15,069
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Kuomintang mayor Chang San-cheng registered for re-election in early September 2026 as the sole KMT nominee, facing Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh in a two-candidate race confirmed after registration closed. Chang maintains approval ratings near 62 percent amid a stable local record, while Huang's nomination in April drew on his prior legislative and justice ministry experience in Taoyuan. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows Chang as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 28 vote, consistent with historical advantages for popular special-municipality incumbents absent major national shifts. No significant late developments have altered this positioning.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$15,069
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「桃園市長選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「張善政」で89%、次いで「黄士杰」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、89¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「桃園市長選挙優勝者」は$15.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「桃園市長選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「桃園市長選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「張善政」で89%であり、市場がこの結果に89%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「黄士杰」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「桃園市長選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。