**The race for first place in Sergipe’s October 4, 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among roughly seven candidates, as shown by trader consensus pricing multiple names in the 10–40% range for topping the ballot.** Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others reveal technical ties, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tied at 11–18% in stimulated first-preference scenarios, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL). High undecided rates (often 20–79% spontaneous) and the requirement to select two distinct senators keep the field fragmented. Alliances such as the PT-União Brasil pact supporting both Carvalho and Moura, plus ongoing regional campaigning, have yet to produce decisive separation. Late-September momentum shifts, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, or last-minute endorsements could consolidate support behind one or two frontrunners before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Delegado André David 43%
André Moura 33.0%
Rogerio Carvalho 15.0%
Delegado Alessandro 7.9%
$31,765 Vol.
$31,765 Vol.
Delegado André David
43%
André Moura
33%
Rogerio Carvalho
15%
Delegado Alessandro
8%
Iran Barbosa
3%
Eduardo Amorim
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Edvaldo
1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Delegado André David 43%
André Moura 33.0%
Rogerio Carvalho 15.0%
Delegado Alessandro 7.9%
$31,765 Vol.
$31,765 Vol.
Delegado André David
43%
André Moura
33%
Rogerio Carvalho
15%
Delegado Alessandro
8%
Iran Barbosa
3%
Eduardo Amorim
3%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Edvaldo
1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**The race for first place in Sergipe’s October 4, 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among roughly seven candidates, as shown by trader consensus pricing multiple names in the 10–40% range for topping the ballot.** Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others reveal technical ties, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) frequently leading or tied at 11–18% in stimulated first-preference scenarios, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL). High undecided rates (often 20–79% spontaneous) and the requirement to select two distinct senators keep the field fragmented. Alliances such as the PT-União Brasil pact supporting both Carvalho and Moura, plus ongoing regional campaigning, have yet to produce decisive separation. Late-September momentum shifts, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, or last-minute endorsements could consolidate support behind one or two frontrunners before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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