The House passed H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, multiple times in 2025 and 2026, including a 218-213 vote in February, but the Senate has rejected every attempt to advance it. Amendments failed on a 48-50 vote in June, and efforts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations bills were blocked when four Republican senators joined Democrats to oppose cloture. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no plan to revisit the bill this session, citing insufficient support to overcome the 60-vote threshold. With the congressional calendar advancing into fall 2026 and no reconciliation pathway cleared by the parliamentarian, traders see limited remaining opportunities for enactment before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$190,858 Vol.
$190,858 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$190,858 Vol.
$190,858 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House passed H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, multiple times in 2025 and 2026, including a 218-213 vote in February, but the Senate has rejected every attempt to advance it. Amendments failed on a 48-50 vote in June, and efforts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations bills were blocked when four Republican senators joined Democrats to oppose cloture. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no plan to revisit the bill this session, citing insufficient support to overcome the 60-vote threshold. With the congressional calendar advancing into fall 2026 and no reconciliation pathway cleared by the parliamentarian, traders see limited remaining opportunities for enactment before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
音量
$190,858終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House passed H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, multiple times in 2025 and 2026, including a 218-213 vote in February, but the Senate has rejected every attempt to advance it. Amendments failed on a 48-50 vote in June, and efforts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations bills were blocked when four Republican senators joined Democrats to oppose cloture. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no plan to revisit the bill this session, citing insufficient support to overcome the 60-vote threshold. With the congressional calendar advancing into fall 2026 and no reconciliation pathway cleared by the parliamentarian, traders see limited remaining opportunities for enactment before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$190,858終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The House passed H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, multiple times in 2025 and 2026, including a 218-213 vote in February, but the Senate has rejected every attempt to advance it. Amendments failed on a 48-50 vote in June, and efforts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations bills were blocked when four Republican senators joined Democrats to oppose cloture. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no plan to revisit the bill this session, citing insufficient support to overcome the 60-vote threshold. With the congressional calendar advancing into fall 2026 and no reconciliation pathway cleared by the parliamentarian, traders see limited remaining opportunities for enactment before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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