Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and Chaudière-Appalaches, yet first-past-the-post dynamics create wide variance in seat outcomes. Models such as 338Canada project roughly 9-14 seats while others cluster lower, reflecting uncertainty over how efficiently PCQ support converts amid close three-way contests with the PQ and CAQ in many ridings. Trader pricing remains clustered between 8-13 seats because small shifts in turnout, second preferences, or regional swings could easily move the total by several seats in either direction before the October 5 vote. Late-campaign developments, including further CAQ erosion or PCQ consolidation among francophone voters, would most directly influence the final tally.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日17以上 21.1%
8〜10 21%
5〜7 19%
11〜13 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
5未満
4%
5〜7
17%
8〜10
21%
11〜13
18%
14〜16
11%
17以上
18%
17以上 21.1%
8〜10 21%
5〜7 19%
11〜13 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
5未満
$1,979 Vol.
4%
5〜7
$838 Vol.
17%
8〜10
$1,374 Vol.
21%
11〜13
$1,439 Vol.
18%
14〜16
$1,017 Vol.
11%
17以上
$1,072 Vol.
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and Chaudière-Appalaches, yet first-past-the-post dynamics create wide variance in seat outcomes. Models such as 338Canada project roughly 9-14 seats while others cluster lower, reflecting uncertainty over how efficiently PCQ support converts amid close three-way contests with the PQ and CAQ in many ridings. Trader pricing remains clustered between 8-13 seats because small shifts in turnout, second preferences, or regional swings could easily move the total by several seats in either direction before the October 5 vote. Late-campaign developments, including further CAQ erosion or PCQ consolidation among francophone voters, would most directly influence the final tally.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
音量
$7,719終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and Chaudière-Appalaches, yet first-past-the-post dynamics create wide variance in seat outcomes. Models such as 338Canada project roughly 9-14 seats while others cluster lower, reflecting uncertainty over how efficiently PCQ support converts amid close three-way contests with the PQ and CAQ in many ridings. Trader pricing remains clustered between 8-13 seats because small shifts in turnout, second preferences, or regional swings could easily move the total by several seats in either direction before the October 5 vote. Late-campaign developments, including further CAQ erosion or PCQ consolidation among francophone voters, would most directly influence the final tally.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$7,719終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETRecent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and Chaudière-Appalaches, yet first-past-the-post dynamics create wide variance in seat outcomes. Models such as 338Canada project roughly 9-14 seats while others cluster lower, reflecting uncertainty over how efficiently PCQ support converts amid close three-way contests with the PQ and CAQ in many ridings. Trader pricing remains clustered between 8-13 seats because small shifts in turnout, second preferences, or regional swings could easily move the total by several seats in either direction before the October 5 vote. Late-campaign developments, including further CAQ erosion or PCQ consolidation among francophone voters, would most directly influence the final tally.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問