Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate, holds a commanding lead in the Nantou County race due to her established record of debt reduction, expanded welfare programs such as free senior health insurance and enhanced school meals, and ongoing infrastructure projects including transportation hubs and the Happiness Bus network. Her September 2026 registration alongside the full slate of KMT township candidates under the unified “13+1” banner reinforced party cohesion in this blue-leaning county. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Hsu Shu-hua aligns with her prior 2022 victory margin and sustained local support. Wen Shih-cheng, the Democratic Progressive Party challenger and a political newcomer who has lived outside the county for years, faces structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or major campaign missteps before the November 28 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/06/30
許淑華
95%
ウェン・シーチェン
6%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
許淑華
$4,619 Vol.
95%
ウェン・シーチェン
$858 Vol.
6%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate, holds a commanding lead in the Nantou County race due to her established record of debt reduction, expanded welfare programs such as free senior health insurance and enhanced school meals, and ongoing infrastructure projects including transportation hubs and the Happiness Bus network. Her September 2026 registration alongside the full slate of KMT township candidates under the unified “13+1” banner reinforced party cohesion in this blue-leaning county. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Hsu Shu-hua aligns with her prior 2022 victory margin and sustained local support. Wen Shih-cheng, the Democratic Progressive Party challenger and a political newcomer who has lived outside the county for years, faces structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or major campaign missteps before the November 28 vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ET
音量
$5,477終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate, holds a commanding lead in the Nantou County race due to her established record of debt reduction, expanded welfare programs such as free senior health insurance and enhanced school meals, and ongoing infrastructure projects including transportation hubs and the Happiness Bus network. Her September 2026 registration alongside the full slate of KMT township candidates under the unified “13+1” banner reinforced party cohesion in this blue-leaning county. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Hsu Shu-hua aligns with her prior 2022 victory margin and sustained local support. Wen Shih-cheng, the Democratic Progressive Party challenger and a political newcomer who has lived outside the county for years, faces structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or major campaign missteps before the November 28 vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$5,477終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate, holds a commanding lead in the Nantou County race due to her established record of debt reduction, expanded welfare programs such as free senior health insurance and enhanced school meals, and ongoing infrastructure projects including transportation hubs and the Happiness Bus network. Her September 2026 registration alongside the full slate of KMT township candidates under the unified “13+1” banner reinforced party cohesion in this blue-leaning county. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Hsu Shu-hua aligns with her prior 2022 victory margin and sustained local support. Wen Shih-cheng, the Democratic Progressive Party challenger and a political newcomer who has lived outside the county for years, faces structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or major campaign missteps before the November 28 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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