United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market, reflecting its position as the incumbent ruling party with strong administrative backing and a track record of securing majorities in regional legislative contests. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside the federal State Duma election, featured a mixed system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fielded full slates and benefited from the governor's leadership in candidate selection. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, registered candidates but face structural barriers and historically lower support in the region. Trader consensus aligns with patterns from prior cycles, where the party routinely exceeds thresholds needed for outright control. Late shifts remain possible only through confirmed irregularities in vote counting or unprecedented turnout swings, though no such developments have emerged in preliminary reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 97.4%
LDPR 1.5%
New People <1%
CPRF <1%
新規
新規
2027/07/31
United Russia
97%
LDPR
2%
New People
1%
CPRF
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 97.4%
LDPR 1.5%
New People <1%
CPRF <1%
新規
新規
2027/07/31
United Russia
$7,308 Vol.
97%
LDPR
$371 Vol.
2%
New People
$388 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$637 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$385 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$579 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market, reflecting its position as the incumbent ruling party with strong administrative backing and a track record of securing majorities in regional legislative contests. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside the federal State Duma election, featured a mixed system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fielded full slates and benefited from the governor's leadership in candidate selection. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, registered candidates but face structural barriers and historically lower support in the region. Trader consensus aligns with patterns from prior cycles, where the party routinely exceeds thresholds needed for outright control. Late shifts remain possible only through confirmed irregularities in vote counting or unprecedented turnout swings, though no such developments have emerged in preliminary reporting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
音量
$9,668終了日
2027/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market, reflecting its position as the incumbent ruling party with strong administrative backing and a track record of securing majorities in regional legislative contests. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside the federal State Duma election, featured a mixed system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fielded full slates and benefited from the governor's leadership in candidate selection. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, registered candidates but face structural barriers and historically lower support in the region. Trader consensus aligns with patterns from prior cycles, where the party routinely exceeds thresholds needed for outright control. Late shifts remain possible only through confirmed irregularities in vote counting or unprecedented turnout swings, though no such developments have emerged in preliminary reporting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$9,668終了日
2027/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market, reflecting its position as the incumbent ruling party with strong administrative backing and a track record of securing majorities in regional legislative contests. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside the federal State Duma election, featured a mixed system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fielded full slates and benefited from the governor's leadership in candidate selection. Other parties, including the CPRF and LDPR, registered candidates but face structural barriers and historically lower support in the region. Trader consensus aligns with patterns from prior cycles, where the party routinely exceeds thresholds needed for outright control. Late shifts remain possible only through confirmed irregularities in vote counting or unprecedented turnout swings, though no such developments have emerged in preliminary reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問