Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican and the district’s Partisan Voter Index stands at R+16. McClain’s position as House Republican Conference chair, combined with her substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million against opponent Ray Pooley’s limited resources, reinforces trader consensus around her high implied probability. Both candidates secured uncontested nominations in the August 4 primaries, leaving the general election contest with minimal volatility. The district’s rural and suburban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties has produced consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late national developments, significant turnout changes, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,708 Vol.
$33,708 Vol.
2026/11/02
リサ・マクレイン（共和党）
95%
レイ・プーリー（民主党）
6%
$33,708 Vol.
$33,708 Vol.
2026/11/02
リサ・マクレイン（共和党）
$27,141 Vol.
95%
レイ・プーリー（民主党）
$6,567 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican and the district’s Partisan Voter Index stands at R+16. McClain’s position as House Republican Conference chair, combined with her substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million against opponent Ray Pooley’s limited resources, reinforces trader consensus around her high implied probability. Both candidates secured uncontested nominations in the August 4 primaries, leaving the general election contest with minimal volatility. The district’s rural and suburban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties has produced consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late national developments, significant turnout changes, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$33,708終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican and the district’s Partisan Voter Index stands at R+16. McClain’s position as House Republican Conference chair, combined with her substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million against opponent Ray Pooley’s limited resources, reinforces trader consensus around her high implied probability. Both candidates secured uncontested nominations in the August 4 primaries, leaving the general election contest with minimal volatility. The district’s rural and suburban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties has produced consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late national developments, significant turnout changes, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,708終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican and the district’s Partisan Voter Index stands at R+16. McClain’s position as House Republican Conference chair, combined with her substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million against opponent Ray Pooley’s limited resources, reinforces trader consensus around her high implied probability. Both candidates secured uncontested nominations in the August 4 primaries, leaving the general election contest with minimal volatility. The district’s rural and suburban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties has produced consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late national developments, significant turnout changes, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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