Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日モレナ 91.3%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.3%
MC <1%
$103,806 Vol.
$103,806 Vol.
2027/06/05
モレナ
91%
PAN
6%
PRI
2%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
モレナ 91.3%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.3%
MC <1%
$103,806 Vol.
$103,806 Vol.
2027/06/05
モレナ
$56,644 Vol.
91%
PAN
$17,547 Vol.
6%
PRI
$8,469 Vol.
2%
MC
$8,875 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,129 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$103,806終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
音量
$103,806終了日
2027/06/06マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained leads in national polling averages, where the party registers 35-46% voting intention compared to single-digit or low-teen shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This reflects Morena’s control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, whose administration has advanced constitutional reforms with coalition support, alongside the party’s strong territorial organization and the fragmentation of opposition forces ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent surveys from mid-2026 confirm the gap has held steady, with Morena’s coalition often exceeding 45% when including PVEM and PT allies. Shifts could arise from unified opposition alliances, changes in economic conditions, or late swings in undecided voters that narrow the effective preference margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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