Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and airport stations confirm a minimum temperature of 13°C in Mexico City on September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 98% consensus on that outcome. High-elevation topography and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns produced overnight radiative cooling to this level without deeper cold-air intrusion, consistent with seasonal baselines around 12–14°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station data showed no deviation below this threshold. A lower reading would require an unforecasted cold surge or localized measurement anomaly at official sites, scenarios with negligible probability given the dense observational network and model agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のメキシコシティの最低気温は?
13°C 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$773 Vol.
$773 Vol.
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
はい
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃以上
いいえ
13°C 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$773 Vol.
$773 Vol.
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
はい
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and airport stations confirm a minimum temperature of 13°C in Mexico City on September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 98% consensus on that outcome. High-elevation topography and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns produced overnight radiative cooling to this level without deeper cold-air intrusion, consistent with seasonal baselines around 12–14°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station data showed no deviation below this threshold. A lower reading would require an unforecasted cold surge or localized measurement anomaly at official sites, scenarios with negligible probability given the dense observational network and model agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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