Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s for Seattle on September 23, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing and extent of low-level cloud cover and weak onshore flow ahead of a dissipating trough. Clear or partly cloudy conditions would favor stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward or below 50°F, while persistent marine stratus or light drizzle would limit overnight drops and favor values near 52–54°F. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 64°F-or-higher and 52–53°F bins, alongside the notable probability assigned to sub-45°F outcomes if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions on the 22nd will provide the next key data points for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日のシアトルの最低気温は？
9月23日のシアトルの最低気温は？
45°F以下 73%
華氏64度以上 71%
52～53°F 45%
58～59°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
45°F以下
73%
46～47°F
10%
48～49°F
20%
50～51°F
21%
52～53°F
45%
54～55°F
26%
56-57°F
20%
58～59°F
39%
60～61°F
39%
62～63°F
39%
華氏64度以上
71%
45°F以下 73%
華氏64度以上 71%
52～53°F 45%
58～59°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
45°F以下
$10 Vol.
73%
46～47°F
$0 Vol.
10%
48～49°F
$0 Vol.
20%
50～51°F
$0 Vol.
21%
52～53°F
$12 Vol.
45%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
26%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
20%
58～59°F
$10 Vol.
39%
60～61°F
$10 Vol.
39%
62～63°F
$10 Vol.
39%
華氏64度以上
$10 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s for Seattle on September 23, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing and extent of low-level cloud cover and weak onshore flow ahead of a dissipating trough. Clear or partly cloudy conditions would favor stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward or below 50°F, while persistent marine stratus or light drizzle would limit overnight drops and favor values near 52–54°F. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 64°F-or-higher and 52–53°F bins, alongside the notable probability assigned to sub-45°F outcomes if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions on the 22nd will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$62終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s for Seattle on September 23, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing and extent of low-level cloud cover and weak onshore flow ahead of a dissipating trough. Clear or partly cloudy conditions would favor stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward or below 50°F, while persistent marine stratus or light drizzle would limit overnight drops and favor values near 52–54°F. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 64°F-or-higher and 52–53°F bins, alongside the notable probability assigned to sub-45°F outcomes if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions on the 22nd will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$62終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s for Seattle on September 23, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing and extent of low-level cloud cover and weak onshore flow ahead of a dissipating trough. Clear or partly cloudy conditions would favor stronger radiational cooling and push readings toward or below 50°F, while persistent marine stratus or light drizzle would limit overnight drops and favor values near 52–54°F. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 64°F-or-higher and 52–53°F bins, alongside the notable probability assigned to sub-45°F outcomes if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions on the 22nd will provide the next key data points for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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