Current Met Office and European model consensus points to a minimum air temperature of 11 °C in London on 21 September 2026, driven by clear skies under high pressure that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds limit mixing. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 10–12 °C in recent similar setups and places the outcome well within the typical early-autumn range for the region. Trader consensus at 99.7 % reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, with only modest model spread. A late increase in low cloud or a shift in wind direction could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, while stronger radiative loss under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to a lower reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月21日のロンドンの最低気温は？
11°C 99.7%
9℃ <1%
10°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
$8,888 Vol.
$8,888 Vol.
2026/09/21
8℃以下
<1%
9℃
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
11°C 99.7%
9℃ <1%
10°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
$8,888 Vol.
$8,888 Vol.
2026/09/21
8℃以下
$795 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$376 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,964 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,066 Vol.
100%
12°C
$2,718 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$698 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$146 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C以上
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and European model consensus points to a minimum air temperature of 11 °C in London on 21 September 2026, driven by clear skies under high pressure that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds limit mixing. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 10–12 °C in recent similar setups and places the outcome well within the typical early-autumn range for the region. Trader consensus at 99.7 % reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, with only modest model spread. A late increase in low cloud or a shift in wind direction could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, while stronger radiative loss under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to a lower reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$8,888終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and European model consensus points to a minimum air temperature of 11 °C in London on 21 September 2026, driven by clear skies under high pressure that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds limit mixing. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 10–12 °C in recent similar setups and places the outcome well within the typical early-autumn range for the region. Trader consensus at 99.7 % reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, with only modest model spread. A late increase in low cloud or a shift in wind direction could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, while stronger radiative loss under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to a lower reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,888終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent Met Office and European model consensus points to a minimum air temperature of 11 °C in London on 21 September 2026, driven by clear skies under high pressure that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds limit mixing. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 10–12 °C in recent similar setups and places the outcome well within the typical early-autumn range for the region. Trader consensus at 99.7 % reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, with only modest model spread. A late increase in low cloud or a shift in wind direction could raise the minimum by 1–2 °C, while stronger radiative loss under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to a lower reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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