Ralph Alvarado leads trader pricing in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District race at 73% because the open seat remains in a Republican-leaning district where the party holds a narrow voter-registration edge and has won recent general elections by double digits. Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in May with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump along with prior statewide visibility as a state senator and lieutenant-governor nominee. Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee at 26%, benefits from Governor Andy Beshear’s endorsement and his background as a Navy veteran and federal prosecutor, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that Trump carried by 15 points in 2024. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, and Inside Elections moved the rating toward Democrats, but no new surveys or major events since early September have altered the implied probability that the Republican holds the seat in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,981 Vol.
$34,981 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラルフ・アルバラド（共和党）
73%
ザック・デンボ（民主党）
26%
$34,981 Vol.
$34,981 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラルフ・アルバラド（共和党）
$14,999 Vol.
73%
ザック・デンボ（民主党）
$19,983 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado leads trader pricing in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District race at 73% because the open seat remains in a Republican-leaning district where the party holds a narrow voter-registration edge and has won recent general elections by double digits. Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in May with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump along with prior statewide visibility as a state senator and lieutenant-governor nominee. Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee at 26%, benefits from Governor Andy Beshear’s endorsement and his background as a Navy veteran and federal prosecutor, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that Trump carried by 15 points in 2024. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, and Inside Elections moved the rating toward Democrats, but no new surveys or major events since early September have altered the implied probability that the Republican holds the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$34,981終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado leads trader pricing in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District race at 73% because the open seat remains in a Republican-leaning district where the party holds a narrow voter-registration edge and has won recent general elections by double digits. Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in May with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump along with prior statewide visibility as a state senator and lieutenant-governor nominee. Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee at 26%, benefits from Governor Andy Beshear’s endorsement and his background as a Navy veteran and federal prosecutor, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that Trump carried by 15 points in 2024. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, and Inside Elections moved the rating toward Democrats, but no new surveys or major events since early September have altered the implied probability that the Republican holds the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,981終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ralph Alvarado leads trader pricing in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District race at 73% because the open seat remains in a Republican-leaning district where the party holds a narrow voter-registration edge and has won recent general elections by double digits. Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in May with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump along with prior statewide visibility as a state senator and lieutenant-governor nominee. Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee at 26%, benefits from Governor Andy Beshear’s endorsement and his background as a Navy veteran and federal prosecutor, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that Trump carried by 15 points in 2024. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, and Inside Elections moved the rating toward Democrats, but no new surveys or major events since early September have altered the implied probability that the Republican holds the seat in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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