United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election, which concluded on September 20 alongside the federal State Duma vote, reflecting its entrenched position as the dominant ruling party aligned with the federal executive. Preliminary tallies from the parallel national contest show the party securing roughly 57% of the proportional vote in the region, consistent with its historical performance in oblast-wide lists and single-member districts under Russia's parallel voting system. High turnout near 56% and the party's organizational advantages, including automatic ballot access and broad candidate registration, reinforce trader consensus on its likely plurality or majority outcome. While other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain on the ballot, their lower national shares limit realistic challenges absent verified widespread irregularities or late procedural reversals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 97.6%
LDPR 2.6%
Yabloko 2.1%
CPRF <1%
$6,381 Vol.
$6,381 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
98%
LDPR
3%
Yabloko
2%
CPRF
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 97.6%
LDPR 2.6%
Yabloko 2.1%
CPRF <1%
$6,381 Vol.
$6,381 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
$2,366 Vol.
98%
LDPR
$799 Vol.
3%
Yabloko
$1,099 Vol.
2%
CPRF
$753 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$732 Vol.
<1%
New People
$631 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election, which concluded on September 20 alongside the federal State Duma vote, reflecting its entrenched position as the dominant ruling party aligned with the federal executive. Preliminary tallies from the parallel national contest show the party securing roughly 57% of the proportional vote in the region, consistent with its historical performance in oblast-wide lists and single-member districts under Russia's parallel voting system. High turnout near 56% and the party's organizational advantages, including automatic ballot access and broad candidate registration, reinforce trader consensus on its likely plurality or majority outcome. While other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain on the ballot, their lower national shares limit realistic challenges absent verified widespread irregularities or late procedural reversals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
音量
$6,381終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election, which concluded on September 20 alongside the federal State Duma vote, reflecting its entrenched position as the dominant ruling party aligned with the federal executive. Preliminary tallies from the parallel national contest show the party securing roughly 57% of the proportional vote in the region, consistent with its historical performance in oblast-wide lists and single-member districts under Russia's parallel voting system. High turnout near 56% and the party's organizational advantages, including automatic ballot access and broad candidate registration, reinforce trader consensus on its likely plurality or majority outcome. While other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain on the ballot, their lower national shares limit realistic challenges absent verified widespread irregularities or late procedural reversals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$6,381終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election, which concluded on September 20 alongside the federal State Duma vote, reflecting its entrenched position as the dominant ruling party aligned with the federal executive. Preliminary tallies from the parallel national contest show the party securing roughly 57% of the proportional vote in the region, consistent with its historical performance in oblast-wide lists and single-member districts under Russia's parallel voting system. High turnout near 56% and the party's organizational advantages, including automatic ballot access and broad candidate registration, reinforce trader consensus on its likely plurality or majority outcome. While other registered parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain on the ballot, their lower national shares limit realistic challenges absent verified widespread irregularities or late procedural reversals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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