Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日知事は民主党、上院は共和党が勝利 48%
民主党が圧勝 40%
共和党が圧勝 16%
共和党が知事選、民主党が上院選で勝利 2.8%
$10,794 Vol.
$10,794 Vol.
2026/11/03
知事は民主党、上院は共和党が勝利
48%
民主党が圧勝
40%
共和党が圧勝
16%
共和党が知事選、民主党が上院選で勝利
3%
知事は民主党、上院は共和党が勝利 48%
民主党が圧勝 40%
共和党が圧勝 16%
共和党が知事選、民主党が上院選で勝利 2.8%
$10,794 Vol.
$10,794 Vol.
2026/11/03
知事は民主党、上院は共和党が勝利
$3,923 Vol.
48%
民主党が圧勝
$3,172 Vol.
40%
共和党が圧勝
$2,932 Vol.
16%
共和党が知事選、民主党が上院選で勝利
$767 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET
音量
$10,794終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$10,794終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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