Illinois's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96%. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and superior fundraising that doubled her opponent's totals. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural barriers in a state where no Republican has captured a Senate seat since 2010. The race remains low-profile into September 2026, with limited polling and Tracy operating as a clear underdog on affordability themes. A major scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
96%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
4%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
$16,811 Vol.
96%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
$15,559 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96%. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and superior fundraising that doubled her opponent's totals. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural barriers in a state where no Republican has captured a Senate seat since 2010. The race remains low-profile into September 2026, with limited polling and Tracy operating as a clear underdog on affordability themes. A major scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$32,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96%. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and superior fundraising that doubled her opponent's totals. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural barriers in a state where no Republican has captured a Senate seat since 2010. The race remains low-profile into September 2026, with limited polling and Tracy operating as a clear underdog on affordability themes. A major scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$32,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96%. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and superior fundraising that doubled her opponent's totals. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural barriers in a state where no Republican has captured a Senate seat since 2010. The race remains low-profile into September 2026, with limited polling and Tracy operating as a clear underdog on affordability themes. A major scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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