Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on September 20, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data from the period showed stable marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks, aligning precisely with the recorded range. Historical September averages for the city fall near 70°F, making the cooler result notable but consistent with current coastal conditions. Trader consensus reflects confidence in the verified station data used for resolution, though minor revisions to official records or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter the final classification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
9月20日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
64〜65°F 100.0%
59°F以下 <1%
60〜61°F <1%
62〜63°F <1%
$45,274 Vol.
$45,274 Vol.
2026/09/20
59°F以下
<1%
60〜61°F
<1%
62〜63°F
<1%
64〜65°F
100%
66〜67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72～73°F
<1%
74～75°F
<1%
76～77°F
<1%
78°F以上
<1%
64〜65°F 100.0%
59°F以下 <1%
60〜61°F <1%
62〜63°F <1%
$45,274 Vol.
$45,274 Vol.
2026/09/20
59°F以下
$1,808 Vol.
<1%
60〜61°F
$4,290 Vol.
<1%
62〜63°F
$9,012 Vol.
<1%
64〜65°F
$7,123 Vol.
100%
66〜67°F
$4,313 Vol.
<1%
68〜69°F
$4,576 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,566 Vol.
<1%
72～73°F
$5,547 Vol.
<1%
74～75°F
$3,518 Vol.
<1%
76～77°F
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
78°F以上
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on September 20, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data from the period showed stable marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks, aligning precisely with the recorded range. Historical September averages for the city fall near 70°F, making the cooler result notable but consistent with current coastal conditions. Trader consensus reflects confidence in the verified station data used for resolution, though minor revisions to official records or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter the final classification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$45,274終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on September 20, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data from the period showed stable marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks, aligning precisely with the recorded range. Historical September averages for the city fall near 70°F, making the cooler result notable but consistent with current coastal conditions. Trader consensus reflects confidence in the verified station data used for resolution, though minor revisions to official records or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter the final classification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45,274終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETOfficial measurements from National Weather Service stations in San Francisco recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on September 20, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data from the period showed stable marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks, aligning precisely with the recorded range. Historical September averages for the city fall near 70°F, making the cooler result notable but consistent with current coastal conditions. Trader consensus reflects confidence in the verified station data used for resolution, though minor revisions to official records or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter the final classification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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