Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
9月19日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
22℃ 43%
24℃ 29%
23℃ 28%
21℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
19°C以下
4%
20℃
6%
21℃
13%
22℃
43%
23℃
28%
24℃
29%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
22℃ 43%
24℃ 29%
23℃ 28%
21℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
19°C以下
$0 Vol.
4%
20℃
$0 Vol.
6%
21℃
$12 Vol.
13%
22℃
$113 Vol.
43%
23℃
$1 Vol.
28%
24℃
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27℃
$64 Vol.
1%
28℃
$169 Vol.
<1%
29°C以上
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$529終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$529終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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