Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, meteoblue, and regional models converged on a daytime high of 21°C for Munich on September 18, 2026, under stable partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and no precipitation. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 19.4°C for the date while reflecting mild autumn air masses. Multiple independent runs showed minimal model spread, supporting the market's 100% implied probability on 21°C as the maximum temperature recorded at official stations. The outcome could shift only if late-day measurements or station-specific data revise the peak downward, though current observations through the afternoon confirm the consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
21℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$32,597 Vol.
$32,597 Vol.
17℃以下
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
はい
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C以上
いいえ
21℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$32,597 Vol.
$32,597 Vol.
17℃以下
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
はい
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, meteoblue, and regional models converged on a daytime high of 21°C for Munich on September 18, 2026, under stable partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and no precipitation. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 19.4°C for the date while reflecting mild autumn air masses. Multiple independent runs showed minimal model spread, supporting the market's 100% implied probability on 21°C as the maximum temperature recorded at official stations. The outcome could shift only if late-day measurements or station-specific data revise the peak downward, though current observations through the afternoon confirm the consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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