**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のマドリードの最高気温は？
9月18日のマドリードの最高気温は？
28℃ 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$49,051 Vol.
$49,051 Vol.
2026/09/18
22℃以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
はい
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
28℃ 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$49,051 Vol.
$49,051 Vol.
2026/09/18
22℃以下
$905 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$988 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$1,552 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$1,209 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$4,106 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$7,563 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$8,540 Vol.
はい
29℃
$14,685 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$3,612 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$2,381 Vol.
いいえ
32℃以上
$3,512 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.**
Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error.
Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$49,051終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.**
Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error.
Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$49,051終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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