Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
98～99°F 100%
89°F以下 <1%
90～91°F <1%
92～93°F <1%
$38,104 Vol.
$38,104 Vol.
2026/09/21
89°F以下
いいえ
90～91°F
いいえ
92～93°F
いいえ
94〜95°F
いいえ
96〜97°F
いいえ
98～99°F
はい
100～101°F
いいえ
102〜103°F
いいえ
104～105°F
いいえ
106～107°F
いいえ
108°F以上
いいえ
98～99°F 100%
89°F以下 <1%
90～91°F <1%
92～93°F <1%
$38,104 Vol.
$38,104 Vol.
2026/09/21
89°F以下
$111 Vol.
いいえ
90～91°F
$362 Vol.
いいえ
92～93°F
$7,715 Vol.
いいえ
94〜95°F
$3,610 Vol.
いいえ
96〜97°F
$10,337 Vol.
いいえ
98～99°F
$8,366 Vol.
はい
100～101°F
$5,380 Vol.
いいえ
102〜103°F
$1,425 Vol.
いいえ
104～105°F
$255 Vol.
いいえ
106～107°F
$431 Vol.
いいえ
108°F以上
$111 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$38,104終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38,104終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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