Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning a crowded May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic performance, including double-digit margins for Kamala Harris in 2024 and Raphael Warnock in 2022, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around her 96.8 percent implied probability. Clark’s substantial primary fundraising advantage and established state legislative record further reinforced her position against Republican Jonathan Chavez, an unopposed Air Force veteran. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low Democratic turnout on November 3, 2026, or major late-breaking developments affecting either candidate’s viability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジャスミン・クラーク（民主党）
97%
ジョナサン・チャベス（共和党）
2%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジャスミン・クラーク（民主党）
$19,979 Vol.
97%
ジョナサン・チャベス（共和党）
$19,477 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning a crowded May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic performance, including double-digit margins for Kamala Harris in 2024 and Raphael Warnock in 2022, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around her 96.8 percent implied probability. Clark’s substantial primary fundraising advantage and established state legislative record further reinforced her position against Republican Jonathan Chavez, an unopposed Air Force veteran. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low Democratic turnout on November 3, 2026, or major late-breaking developments affecting either candidate’s viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$39,455終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning a crowded May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic performance, including double-digit margins for Kamala Harris in 2024 and Raphael Warnock in 2022, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around her 96.8 percent implied probability. Clark’s substantial primary fundraising advantage and established state legislative record further reinforced her position against Republican Jonathan Chavez, an unopposed Air Force veteran. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low Democratic turnout on November 3, 2026, or major late-breaking developments affecting either candidate’s viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,455終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning a crowded May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic performance, including double-digit margins for Kamala Harris in 2024 and Raphael Warnock in 2022, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around her 96.8 percent implied probability. Clark’s substantial primary fundraising advantage and established state legislative record further reinforced her position against Republican Jonathan Chavez, an unopposed Air Force veteran. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low Democratic turnout on November 3, 2026, or major late-breaking developments affecting either candidate’s viability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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