Lois Frankel holds a commanding lead in the FL-23 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, where Kamala Harris received over 56% in 2024, combined with her strong primary performance and fundraising edge. The longtime Democratic incumbent secured roughly 75% in the August 2026 primary against a progressive challenger, while Republican nominee Deborah Adeimy won her primary with about 74% but trails significantly in resources, having raised under $165,000 compared to Frankel’s more than $2.2 million. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited remaining campaign window make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,372 Vol.
$20,372 Vol.
2026/11/03
ロイス・フランケル（民主党）
93%
デボラ・アデイミー（共和党）
6%
$20,372 Vol.
$20,372 Vol.
2026/11/03
ロイス・フランケル（民主党）
$11,064 Vol.
93%
デボラ・アデイミー（共和党）
$9,308 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lois Frankel holds a commanding lead in the FL-23 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, where Kamala Harris received over 56% in 2024, combined with her strong primary performance and fundraising edge. The longtime Democratic incumbent secured roughly 75% in the August 2026 primary against a progressive challenger, while Republican nominee Deborah Adeimy won her primary with about 74% but trails significantly in resources, having raised under $165,000 compared to Frankel’s more than $2.2 million. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited remaining campaign window make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$20,372終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lois Frankel holds a commanding lead in the FL-23 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, where Kamala Harris received over 56% in 2024, combined with her strong primary performance and fundraising edge. The longtime Democratic incumbent secured roughly 75% in the August 2026 primary against a progressive challenger, while Republican nominee Deborah Adeimy won her primary with about 74% but trails significantly in resources, having raised under $165,000 compared to Frankel’s more than $2.2 million. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited remaining campaign window make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,372終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Lois Frankel holds a commanding lead in the FL-23 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, where Kamala Harris received over 56% in 2024, combined with her strong primary performance and fundraising edge. The longtime Democratic incumbent secured roughly 75% in the August 2026 primary against a progressive challenger, while Republican nominee Deborah Adeimy won her primary with about 74% but trails significantly in resources, having raised under $165,000 compared to Frankel’s more than $2.2 million. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited remaining campaign window make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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