Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean in recent presidential and House voting patterns. Bean advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway's limited resources. Holloway secured her party's nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural challenges in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. These elements, including incumbency advantages and voter registration trends favoring Republicans, align with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,238 Vol.
$28,238 Vol.
2026/11/03
アーロン・ビーン（共和党）
90%
ラションダ・ホロウェイ（民主党）
11%
$28,238 Vol.
$28,238 Vol.
2026/11/03
アーロン・ビーン（共和党）
$16,952 Vol.
90%
ラションダ・ホロウェイ（民主党）
$11,286 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean in recent presidential and House voting patterns. Bean advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway's limited resources. Holloway secured her party's nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural challenges in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. These elements, including incumbency advantages and voter registration trends favoring Republicans, align with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$28,238終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean in recent presidential and House voting patterns. Bean advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway's limited resources. Holloway secured her party's nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural challenges in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. These elements, including incumbency advantages and voter registration trends favoring Republicans, align with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,238終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean in recent presidential and House voting patterns. Bean advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway's limited resources. Holloway secured her party's nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural challenges in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. These elements, including incumbency advantages and voter registration trends favoring Republicans, align with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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