Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$117,779 Vol.
$117,779 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジミー・パトロニス（共和党）
96%
ゲイ・ヴァリモント（民主党）
3%
$117,779 Vol.
$117,779 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジミー・パトロニス（共和党）
$89,099 Vol.
96%
ゲイ・ヴァリモント（民主党）
$28,680 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$117,779終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$117,779終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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