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icon for ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?

ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?

icon for ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?

ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?

$63,783 Vol.

2026/12/30
Polymarket

$63,783 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$40,100 Vol.

2%

12月31日

$23,683 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments have intensified speculation about Sen. John Fetterman’s (D-Pa.) Senate tenure despite no formal indications of resignation.** A Wall Street Journal report in early September 2026 detailed allegations from former staffers that Fetterman has skipped hearings, constituent meetings, and routine duties while prioritizing media and Israel-related advocacy, prompting public calls from Pennsylvania Democrats—including former Rep. Conor Lamb—to step down. His surprise video appearance at the Republican midterm convention on September 9, introducing GOP Sen. Dave McCormick and praising cooperation with President Trump on steel issues, further fueled party-switch rumors, though Fetterman immediately reaffirmed he is a lifelong Democrat who will caucus with his party and vote with it on key matters. Official records confirm he remains in office with no resignation filed; his term runs through January 2029. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing Democratic backlash, his maverick voting record, and low approval among his own party, balanced against his consistent denials of departure plans and the absence of concrete exit triggers before scheduled elections or primary challenges in 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$63,783
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments have intensified speculation about Sen. John Fetterman’s (D-Pa.) Senate tenure despite no formal indications of resignation.** A Wall Street Journal report in early September 2026 detailed allegations from former staffers that Fetterman has skipped hearings, constituent meetings, and routine duties while prioritizing media and Israel-related advocacy, prompting public calls from Pennsylvania Democrats—including former Rep. Conor Lamb—to step down. His surprise video appearance at the Republican midterm convention on September 9, introducing GOP Sen. Dave McCormick and praising cooperation with President Trump on steel issues, further fueled party-switch rumors, though Fetterman immediately reaffirmed he is a lifelong Democrat who will caucus with his party and vote with it on key matters. Official records confirm he remains in office with no resignation filed; his term runs through January 2029. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing Democratic backlash, his maverick voting record, and low approval among his own party, balanced against his consistent denials of departure plans and the absence of concrete exit triggers before scheduled elections or primary challenges in 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$63,783
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で3%、次いで「9月30日」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?」は$63.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 14, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?」の現在のリーダーは「12月31日」でわずか3%、「9月30日」が2%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジョン・フェッターマンが... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。